Synth models | RMSPE |
---|---|
Outcome lags only | |
1980, 1990, 1998 | 2.3624 |
Predictors with lags | |
TFR, stunting, HIV + 3 lags | 0.9203 |
TFR, stunting, HIV, DPT + 3 lags | 0.8477 |
Clean water and sanitation + 3 lags | 1.0187 |
Logged GDP + urbanization + ODApc + 3 lags | 1.7597 |
Polity score + 3 lags | 2.0387 |
Logged GDP + urbanization + ODApc + polity score + 3 lags | 2.2416 |
Predictors without lags | |
TFR, stunting, HIV, DPT | 4.5781 |
Clean water and sanitation | 3.9344 |
Logged GDP + urbanization + ODApc | 26.7628 |
Full model | |
All 10 predictors + 3 lags | 0.5969 |
All 10 predictors + 3 lags (without Chad) | 0.6034 |
Predictor year range | |
1985–1998 | 0.6219 |
1990–1998 | 0.6438 |
Quadrant 3 | |
All 10 predictors + 3 lags | 0.0618 |
Non-nested | |
All 10 predictors + 3 lags | 1.1046 |