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Table 2 Adjusted coefficients of AIDS by sex, age, period, and birth cohort 1 , Rio de Janeiro, 1985-2009

From: Age-period cohort analysis of AIDS incidence rates in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 1985–2009

Factors

Categories

Coefficient

CI 95%

P-value

Sex1

Male

0.82

0.7

0.94

<0.001

Reference: fem

     

Age group2

5-9

-1.11

-1.47

-0.78

<0.001

(Years)

10-14

-1.77

-2.21

-1.39

<0.001

Reference: 0-4

15-19

-0.48

-0.65

0.01

0.06

 

20-24

1.23

0.92

1.54

<0.001

 

25-29

1.94

1.63

2.24

<0.001

 

30-34

2.18

1.88

2.49

<0.001

 

35-39

2.15

1.84

2.45

<0.001

 

40-44

2.01

1.71

2.32

<0.001

 

45-49

1.75

1.45

2.06

<0.001

 

50-54

1.49

1.18

1.8

<0.001

 

55-59

1.15

0.83

1.47

<0.001

 

60-64

0.68

0.35

1.01

<0.001

 

65-69

0.27

-0.08

0.62

0.14

 

70-74

-0.17

-0.58

0.22

0.38

 

75-79

-0.97

-1.51

-0.45

<0.001

 

≥80

-1.56

-2.3

-0.92

<0.001

Birth cohort3

1945

0.39

0.39

-0.3

0.27

(Midpoint)

1950

0.63

0.63

-0.05

0.07

Reference-1940

1955

0.84

0.84

0.17

0.01

 

1960

0.87

0.87

0.18

0.01

 

1965

0.76

0.76

0.07

0.02

 

1970

0.41

0.41

-0.29

0.23

 

1975

-0.02

-0.02

-0.73

0.95

 

1980

-0.69

-0.69

-1.43

0.04

 

1985

-1.61

-1.61

-2.3

<0.001

 

1990

-2.12

-2.12

-2.81

<0.001

 

1995

-1.47

-1.47

-2.3

<0.001

 

2000

-1.56

-1.56

-2.53

<0.001

 

2005

-1.47

-1.47

-2.66

0.02

Period2

1992

1.08

0.88

1.29

<0.001

(Midpoint)

1997

1.77

1.57

1.98

<0.001

Reference: 1987

2002

2.1

1.9

2.31

<0.001

 

2007

2.02

1.82

2.23

<0.001

Period3

1992

1.28

0.8

1.76

<0.001

(Midpoint)

1997

2.02

1.52

2.51

<0.001

Reference: 1987

2002

2.44

1.93

2.94

<0.001

 

2007

2.63

2.1

3.15

<0.001

  1. 1Two negative binomial models have been used to assess the effect of the factors of sex, age, period, and cohort on the risk of AIDS occurrence.
  2. 2Explanatory variables of the first model: “age group,” “sex,” and “period”.
  3. 3Explanatory variables of the second model: “birth cohort,” “sex,” and “period”.