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Table 3 Modeled lung, breast, and colon cancer interventions baseline and incremental benefits, incremental costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness, for Māori and non-Māori aged 50–54, 65–69, and 80–84 years, with varying input parameters (Models 1–5)

From: Why equal treatment is not always equitable: the impact of existing ethnic health inequalities in cost-effectiveness modeling

 

50-54 years

65-69 years

80-84 years

 

HALY per 100,000 pop^

Baseline HALY per case

Inc HALY per case

HALY per case% change

ICER

HALY per 100,000 pop^

Baseline HALY per case

Inc HALY per case

HALY per case% change

ICER

HALY per 100,000 pop^

Baseline HALY per case

Inc HALY per case

HALY per case% change

ICER

Lung cancer

              

Non-Māori

               

Model 1/2

41

4.13

1.49

0

13200

126

2.21

0.89

0

20000

98

1.01

0.37

0

40900

Model 3/4

39

3.64

1.41

-5.4

14000

116

1.80

0.81

-9.0

21800

82

0.69

0.31

-16.2

49100

Model 5

31

2.94

1.13

-24.2

17500

85

1.35

0.60

-32.6

29600

54

0.46

0.20

-45.9

74300

Māori

               

Model 1

145

4.02

1.47

0

13300

419

2.14

0.87

0

20200

230

1.00

0.37

0

40700

Model 2

127

2.90

1.29

-12.2

14600

346

1.52

0.72

-17.2

23000

185

0.74

0.30

-18.9

47600

Model 3

119

2.49

1.21

-17.7

15500

312

1.18

0.65

-25.3

25400

149

0.47

0.24

-35.1

59000

Model 4

105

2.25

1.07

-27.2

16900

260

1.03

0.54

-37.9

29500

126

0.43

0.20

-45.9

68200

Model 5

78

1.69

0.79

-46.3

22900

174

0.71

0.36

-58.6

44000

71

0.26

0.11

-70.3

120700

Breast cancer

              

Non-Māori

               

Model 1/2

65

17.53

0.74

0

24500

82

11.62

0.61

0

30000

40

6.07

0.25

0

66800

Model 3/4

64

16.80

0.73

-1.4

24800

81

10.92

0.60

-1.6

30500

39

5.49

0.24

-4.0

68900

Model 5

50

13.37

0.57

-23.0

31900

58

8.05

0.43

-29.5

42600

25

3.62

0.16

-36.0

107300

Māori

               

Model 1

109

17.26

0.75

0

24300

138

11.42

0.61

0

29800

68

6.04

0.25

0

66400

Model 2

141

15.84

0.96

+28.0

19900

172

10.28

0.76

+24.6

25000

87

5.56

0.32

+28.0

53700

Model 3

139

15.12

0.95

+26.7

20100

169

9.61

0.75

+23.0

25400

84

5.01

0.31

+24.0

55800

Model 4

122

13.63

0.83

+10.7

22400

135

8.17

0.60

-1.6

30600

66

4.28

0.24

-4.0

68600

Model 5

88

10.14

0.60

-20.0

31100

88

5.55

0.39

-36.1

47000

36

2.43

0.13

-48.0

126300

Colon Cancer

              

Non-Māori

               

Model 1/2

36

13.05

1.28

0

15300

159

8.95

0.85

0

22200

159

4.31

0.42

0

41400

Model 3/4

35

12.44

1.25

-2.3

15600

154

8.36

0.82

-3.5

22900

149

3.82

0.4

-4.8

44100

Model 5

28

9.99

1

-28

19600

112

6.19

0.6

-29.4

31300

98

2.52

0.26

-38.1

67400

Māori

               

Model 1

27

12.71

1.27

0

15300

114

8.64

0.83

0

22500

109

4.21

0.42

0

41700

Model 2

33

9.83

1.53

20.5

13300

138

6.75

1.01

21.7

19400

130

3.28

0.5

19

35900

Model 3

32

9.29

1.5

18.1

13600

133

6.23

0.97

16.9

20100

122

2.85

0.47

11.9

38400

Model 4

28

8.31

1.32

2.4

14900

110

5.27

0.8

-3.6

23400

100

2.42

0.38

-9.5

45700

Model 5

21

6.18

0.97

-23.6

20300

72

3.53

0.53

-36.1

35500

54

1.36

0.21

-50

83900

  1. Model 1 – Ethnic-specific cancer incidence, non-Māori cancer excess mortality, and background mortality rates for all groups, no disability weights for cancer phases, no background population morbidity.
  2. Model 2 – Same as Model 1, with ethnic-specific cancer excess mortality rate.
  3. Model 3 – Same as Model 2, with disability weights for cancer phases.
  4. Model 4 – Same as Model 3, with ethnic-specific background mortality rates.
  5. Model 5 Heterogeneity model – Same as Model 4, with ethnic-specific background population morbidity.
  6. ^per 100,000 ethnic-specific resident population.
  7. Note: The incremental cost per case for Model 1 was similar for Māori and non-Māori and reduced for Māori in Models 2 and 4 to be less than $2000 difference between Models 1–5.