Table 2 Average age at infection (A 15) and inter-epidemic period (T) in the Italian regions. Results arising from the time series analysis of regional measles notifications data for the period 1949–76 (N = North, C = Centre, S = South.)
A 15 (years) | T from non harmonic estimate (T O ) (years) | T from SEIR model (T) (years) | |
|---|---|---|---|
Piemonte & Valle Aosta (N) | 6.34 | 2.39 | 3.08 |
Lombardia (N) | 5.70 | 2.37 | 2.94 |
Trentino (N) | 5.75 | 2.85 | 2.94 |
Veneto (N) | 5.87 | 3.21 | 2.98 |
Friuli (N) | 5.98 | 2.77 | 2.98 |
Liguria (N) | 6.92 | 5.34 | 3.22 |
Emilia (N) | 6.24 | 3.33 | 3.06 |
Toscana (C) | 7.30 | 2.85 | 3.29 |
Umbria (C) | 6.81 | 3.40 | 3.21 |
Marche (C) | 6.63 | 3.27 | 3.16 |
Lazio (C) | 6.34 | 3.23 | 3.08 |
Abruzzo (S) | 6.46 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
Molise (S) | 6.19 | 5.88 | 3.04 |
Campania (S) | 5.64 | 3.03 | 2.90 |
Puglia (S) | 5.20 | 3.79 | 2.79 |
Basilicata (S) | 5.43 | 3.74 | 2.82 |
Calabria (S) | 5.63 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
Sicilia (S) | 5.47 | 3.14 | 2.85 |
Sardegna (S) | 5.70 | 3.79 | 2.92 |
North | 6.09 | 2.35 | 3.02 |
Centre | 6.78 | 3.27 | 3.22 |
South | 5.65 | 3.68 | 2.90 |
Italy | 6.18 | 2.35 | 3.06 |