Skip to main content

Table 3 Measures indicating the size of the task of eliminating measles in the Italian regions. Estimates for basic reproduction numbers (R 0) and critical age zero routine vaccination coverages (p c ) for measles elimination in the Italian regions. Results in column pairs correspond to different assumptions on contact patterns. (NA = contact matrix non admissible; * = contact matrix admissible only after FOI redefined on adult age group; N = North, C = Centre, S = South.)

From: The pre-vaccination regional epidemiological landscape of measles in Italy: contact patterns, effort needed for eradication, and comparison with other regions of Europe

Type of mixing pattern Homogeneous Default Realistic assortative Proportionate Preferred mixing ε= 0.9)
  R0 PC age 0 R0 Pcage 0 R0 Pc age 0 R0 Pc age 0 R0 Pc age 0
Piemonte & Valle D'Aosta (N) 11.83 0,92 NA NA 11.8* 0.92 4.09 0.76 4.30 0.77
Lombardia (N) 13.16 0,92 6.2 0.84 16.1* 0.94 4.80 0.79 5.18 0.81
Trentino (N) 13.05 0,92 5.4 0.81 16.0* 0.94 4.50 0.78 4.82 0.79
Veneto (N) 12.77 0.92 5.5 0.82 17.6* 0.94 4.77 0.79 5.13 0.81
Friuli V.G. (N) 12.53 0.92 4.9 0.80 13.1* 0.92 4.05 0.75 4.32 0.77
Liguria (N) 10.83 0.91 NA NA 10.0* 0.90 3.73 0.73 3.95 0.75
Emilia (N) 12.01 0.92 NA NA 17.5* 0.94 4.41 0.77 4.69 0.79
Toscana (C) 10.27 0.90 NA NA 9.8* 0.90 3.60 0.72 3.79 0.74
Umbria (C) 11.01 0.91 NA NA 8.5* 0.88 3.62 0.72 3.81 0.74
Marche (C) 11.32 0.91 NA NA 10.6* 0.91 3.83 0.74 4.06 0.75
Lazio (C) 11.83 0.92 NA NA 11.8* 0.92 4.06 0.75 4.27 0.77
Abruzzo (S) 11.60 0.91 NA NA 14.6* 0.93 4.64 0.78 5.07 0.80
Molise (S) 12.11 0.92 NA NA 13.2* 0.92 5.68 0.82 6.62 0.85
Campania (S) 13.30 0.92 7.5 0.87 16.3 0.94 5.91 0.83 6.89 0.85
Puglia (S) 14.43 0.93 7.80 0.87 20.1 0.95 6.01 0.83 7.14 0.86
Basilicata (S) 13.82 0.93 6.7 0.85 19.8 0.95 5.19 0.81 5.86 0.83
Calabria (S) 13.32 0.92 6.1 0.84 18.5 0.95 5.07 0.80 5.62 0.82
Sicilia (S) 13.71 0.93 7.5 0.87 16.6 0.94 5.91 0.83 6.98 0.86
Sardegna (S) 13.17 0.92 6.3 0.84 16.6 0.94 5.29 0.81 5.93 0.83
North 12.32 0.92 5.2 0.81 14.9* 0.93 4.38 0.77 4.66 0.79
Centre 11.05 0.91 NA NA 10.4* 0.90 3.76 0.73 3.96 0.75
South 13.27 0.92 6.6 0.85 16.4 0.94 5.45 0.82 6.19 0.84
Italia 12.14 0.92 5.2 0.81 13.2* 0.92 4.33 0.77 4.64 0.78
Italy-UR 12.93 0.92 6.0 0.83 14.3 0.93 5.04 0.80 5.57 0.82
EURO 17.05 0.94 9.6 0.90 29.3 0.97 7.14 0.86 8.95 0.89