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Table 1 Data sources used in model parameterization, calibration, and performance evaluation

From: Modeling human papillomavirus and cervical cancer in the United States for analyses of screening and vaccination

Modeling Step

Sources

Parameterization

HPV infection rates

 

Primary Articles: [23-27]

 

Reviews: [14,20,21]

 

Progression rates to/within CIN

 

Primary Articles: [28-37]

 

Reviews: [14,20,21,38,39]

 

Regression rates from CIN and HPV clearance rates

 

Primary Articles: [37,40,41]

 

Reviews: [14,20,21,39]

 

Progression rates to/within cancer and cancer detection

 

Reviews: [14,20,21,42]

 

All-cause and cancer mortality rates

 

Reviews: [14,42,44]

Calibration

Age-specific cervical cancer incidence

 

[43]

 

Cumulative cervical cancer incidence

 

[43,44]

 

Age-specific prevalence of high-risk and low-risk HPV

 

[45-61]

 

Age-specific prevalence of CIN1 and CIN2,3

 

[45,47,50,62-71]

 

HPV type distribution by CIN/cancer status

 

Primary Articles: [58,72-90]

 

Review: [91-94]

 

Type-specific duration of HPV infections in younger and older women

 

[41]

Evaluation*

Age-specific high-risk HPV prevalence and age-specific HSIL+ cytology prevalence

 

[95]

 

Proportion of CIN1 and CIN2,3 that are HPV-16 and HPV-18 or other high-risk HPV infected

 

[96]

 

Screening reduction in age-specific cancer incidence rates and cancer stage at detection

 

[43,97]

  1. * Screening patterns used in model evaluation: [98-102]