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Table 3 Final estimates of total deaths by method, Bohol study area, 2002-2007

From: Capture-recapture analysis of all-cause mortality data in Bohol, Philippines

Method/Model

Total estimated deaths

Crude mortality rate (deaths per 1,000 population)

Low estimates

  

2-source analysis (combined LCR and health center) including unknown age deaths (with age redistributed by source category) by age

8459 (8226-8692)

7.39 (7.19 - 7.60)

3-source analysis with the 1-2 model using ages redistributed by total age distribution

8457 (8422-8493)

7.39 (7.36 - 7.42)

3-source analysis with the 1-2 model using ages redistributed by total age distribution calculated separately for <5 yrs, 5-14 yrs, and 15+ years)

8481 (8413 - 8546)

7.41 (7.35 - 7.47)

High estimates

  

3-source analysis (including unknown age deaths without age distribution) - saturated model

8983 (8748-9218)

7.85 (7.64 - 8.06)

3-source analysis with the saturated model using ages redistributed by total age distribution (calculated separately for <5 yrs, 5-14 yrs, and 15+ years)

8964 (8676 - 9305)

7.83 (7.58 - 8.13)

3-source analysis calculated separately for <5 yrs (1-2), 5-14 yrs (1-2), and 15+ years (saturated)

9006 (8734 - 9275)

7.87 (7.63 - 8.11)

Averages

  

Average of all accepted estimates with maximum 95% confidence intervals (as calculated by any method)

8725 (8354 - 9266)

7.62 (7.19 - 8.13)