Skip to main content

Table 5 CCCSMF accuracy of Random Allocation and Random-From-Train with and without resampling the test CSMF distribution.

From: Measuring causes of death in populations: a new metric that corrects cause-specific mortality fractions for chance

J

Random-From-Train (Same CSMF)

Random Allocation

Random-From-Train (Resampled CSMF)

5

0.980

0.075

0.092

15

0.964

0.028

0.027

25

0.953

0.016

0.016

35

0.945

0.010

0.007

50

0.933

0.006

−0.005

  1. This table demonstrates the importance of resampling the CSMF distribution in the test set; if the test and train sets have the same CSMF distribution, then simple approaches like Random-From-Train, as well as state-of-the-art approaches like King-Lu [23], can appear to have better performance than is justified, due to “overfitting”
Back to article page

Population Health Metrics

ISSN: 1478-7954