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Table 2 Life expectancy between age 55 and 85 by health status

From: Future healthy life expectancy among older adults in the US: a forecast based on cohort smoking and obesity history

  

Males

Females

 

Year

LE

LEND

LED

LEND/LE (%)

LE

LEND

LED

LEND/LE (%)

Observed

1982

19.96

12.98

6.98

65.03

23.40

14.90

8.50

63.68

1990

20.70

14.32

6.38

69.18

23.64

15.82

7.82

66.92

2000

21.75

15.80

5.95

72.64

23.92

17.04

6.88

71.24

2010

22.82

16.92

5.90

74.15

24.69

17.53

7.16

71.00

Projected without covariates

2020

23.53 (23.26, 23.77)

17.64 (17.45, 17.83)

5.89 (5.73, 6.02)

75.00 (74.57, 75.49)

24.92 (24.81, 25.03)

17.91 (17.81, 18.00)

7.01 (6.91, 7.10)

71.89 (71.56, 72.18)

2030

24.06 (23.60, 24.43)

18.58 (18.21, 18.95)

5.48 (5.10, 5.80)

77.22 (76.14, 78.59)

25.25 (25.08, 25.43)

18.62 (18.37, 18.83)

6.64 (6.42, 6.90)

73.72 (72.79, 74.49)

2040

24.54 (23.94, 25.01)

19.6 (19.04, 20.13)

4.94 (4.40, 5.45)

79.87 (78.11, 81.86)

25.55 (25.33, 25.77)

19.27 (18.96, 19.68)

6.18 (5.86, 6.59)

75.82 (74.36, 76.98)

Projected with covariates and interaction

2020

23.83 (23.58, 24.05)

17.86 (17.70, 18.03)

5.97 (5.81, 6.14)

74.95 (74.41, 75.45)

25.11 (24.95, 25.24)

18.00 (17.89, 18.13)

7.09 (6.99, 7.21)

71.72 (71.32, 72.08)

2030

24.63 (24.24, 24.98)

18.99 (18.68, 19.36)

5.62 (5.30, 6.06)

77.17 (75.61, 78.38)

25.49 (25.23, 25.69)

18.67 (18.41, 18.97)

6.80 (6.54, 7.13)

73.28 (72.13, 74.23)

2040

25.24 (24.75, 25.67)

20.10 (19.60, 20.64)

5.10 (4.65, 5.78)

79.79 (77.35, 81.53)

25.74 (25.40, 26.00)

19.30 (18.88, 19.77)

6.41 (6.00, 6.96)

75.03 (73.07, 76.53)