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Table 2 Selection of studies investigating the health scenarios in Germany, publication year 2001 through 2015

From: Expansion or compression of long-term care in Germany between 2001 and 2009? A small-area decomposition study based on administrative health data

Study

Type of health

Ages

Country/region

Time

Results

Regional comparison

Type of method

[25]

Long-term care (in general; incidence)

All ages

Germany

1998–2006

(Slight) Compression

no

Age standardized prevalence, incidence estimations

[26]

Long-term care (in general and severe)

All ages

North Rhine-Westfalia/Germany

1999–2005

Compression

no

Sullivan method

[27]

Long-term care (transition rates)

All ages

Berlin/Germany

2000–2009

Compression (but: policy influence assumed)

no

Transition models

[28]

Long-term care (by severity)

All ages

Germany

1999–2007

Dynamic equilibrium (Expansion for all types and stability for severe types of care)

Federal states and 3 regions

Sullivan method, standardized morbidity ratios

[29]

Long-term care (by severity of disability)

60+

Germany

1999–2008

Dynamic Equilibrium (Expansion for all types and stability for severe types)

no

Sullivan method

[30]

Long-term care (in general)

60+

Germany

1999–2005

Relative expansion

no

Sullivan method

  1. Note: Words in bold letters indicate that the results are interpreted with a direct link to the health scenarios