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Table 2 T2DM prevalence (%) projections to 2020 based on various body mass index (BMI) scenarios, 2011–2020

From: Diabetes incidence and projections from prevalence surveys in Fiji

  T2DM prevalence (%) and 95% CI
i-Taukei Indian Fiji
Men Women Men Women
2011 STEPS prevalencea 11.13
(10.34–11.92)
13.61
(12.73–14.48)
17.90
(16.41–19.39)
19.93
(18.61–21.26)
15.61
(15.06–16.16)
Projected to 2020 from period trend onlyb 13.27
(13.22–13.33)
16.73
(16.66–16.81)
23.37
(23.09–23.65)
24.14
(23.99–24.29)
19.28
(19.19–19.37)
Projected to 2020 from period and BMI trendsc 15.35
(12.12–18.58)
19.90
(16.83–22.98)
21.14
(16.88–25.40)
23.09
(19.37–26.81)
20.56
(18.78–22.35)
Projected: no weight change 2011-20c 15.18
(11.97–18.40)
18.16
(15.20–21.13)
20.67
(16.44–24.89)
21.73
(18.09–25.38)
18.82
(17.10–20.55)
Projected from mean weight change to 2020
 Weight loss 2011–2020c
  −1 kg 14.67
(11.50–17.84)
17.59
(14.66–20.52)
20.24
(16.05–24.43)
21.08
(17.47–24.68)
17.94
(16.25–19.63)
  −2 kg 14.24
(11.11–17.37)
17.01
(14.11–19.90)
19.74
(15.59–23.89)
20.45
(16.89–24.02)
17.08
(15.42–18.74)
  −3 kg 13.82
(10.73–16.92)
16.44
(13.59–19.30)
19.25
(15.13–23.36)
19.85
(16.32–23.37)
16.25
(14.63)
  −4 kg 13.42
(10.73–16.92)
15.90
(13.09–18.72)
18.77
(14.70–22.84)
19.26
(15.77–22.74)
15.47
(13.87–17.07)
 Weight gain 2011–2020c
  +1 kg 15.57
(12.32–18.82)
18.81
(15.80–21.82)
21.29
(17.02–25.56)
22.38
(20.85–23.92)
19.80
(18.04–21.56)
  +2 kg 16.04
(12.75–19.33)
19.46
(16.41–22.51)
21.83
(17.52–26.14)
23.07
(19.35–26.79)
20.80
(19.01–22.60)
  +3 kg 16.52
(13.20–19.85)
20.12
(17.04–23.21)
22.38
(18.04–26.73)
23.77
(20.01–27.53)
21.86
(20.03–23.68)
  +4 kg 17.02
(13.66–20.39)
20.81
(17.69–23.94)
22.95
(18.57–27.34)
24.50
(20.70–28.30)
22.96
(21.11–24.82)
  1. aAdjusted variously for urban-rural, ethnicity, sex, and age to 2007 census [13]
  2. bFrom linear meta-regression of T2DM prevalence estimates from six surveys, age-adjusted [13]
  3. cFrom ethnic-specific Poisson models using survey year, sex, age, and mean BMI