Comparing trends in mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer in the United Kingdom, 1983–2013: joinpoint regression analysis

Wilson, Lauren; Bhatnagar, Prachi; Townsend, Nick

doi:10.1186/s12963-017-0141-5

Population Health Metrics

Table 3 Joinpoint analysis of age-standardised^b mortality persons from cancer and cardiovascular diseases by age group

From: Comparing trends in mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer in the United Kingdom, 1983–2013: joinpoint regression analysis

Age Group (years)	Total study period^c		Period 1		Period 2		Period 3		Period 4		Period 5
Age Group (years)	Average APC (%)	95%CI	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)
Cancer
Male
0–14	−2.2^a	−2.5, −1.8	−
15–34	−1.9^a	−2.1, −1.7	−
35–54	−2.0^a	−2.1, −1.8	1983–1993	−1.0^a	1993–2013	−2.4^a
55–74	−1.6^a	−1.7, −1.5	1983–1991	−0.7^a	1991–2005	−2.1^a	2005–2013	−1.7^a
75+	−0.4^a	−0.6, −0.1	1983–1985	3.1^a	1985–1992	0.2	1992–1998	−1.7^a	1998–2002	0.6	2002–2013	−0.9^a
Female
0–14	−2.4^a	−2.7, −2.1	−
15–34	−2.0^a	−2.2, −1.8	−
35–54	−2.0^a	−2.2, −1.8	1983–1988	−0.9^a	1988–1994	−1.8^a	1994–2003	−2.7^a	2003–2013	−2.0^a
55–74	−0.9^a	−1.0, −0.8	1983–1985	1.7^a	1985–1991	−0.1	1991–2003	−1.5^a	2003–2013	−1.2^a
75+	0.2	−0.1, 0.5	1983–1989	1.5^a	1989–1998	−0.5^a	1998–2002	1.5	2002–2013	−0.3^a
Cardiovascular Disease
Male
0–14	−1.2^a	−2.3, −0.1	1983–1995	2.8^a	1995–2013	−3.7^a
15–34	−1.6	−3.2, 0.1	1983–1991	−3.0^a	1991–1995	2.3	1995–1999	−4.7^a	1999–2003	3.9	2003–2013	−2.8^a
35–54	−3.9^a	−4.1, −3.7	1983–1994	−4.9^a	1994–2013	−3.4^a
55–74	−4.9^a	−5.2, −4.4	1983–1993	−3.2^a	1993–1998	−4.6^a	1998–2013	−6.2^a
75+	−3.3^a	−3.5, −3.1	1983–2003	−2.2^a	2003–2013	−5.2^a
Female
0–14	−1.4^a	−2.7, −0.0	1983–1995	1.5	1995–2013	−3.2^a
15–34	−1.9^a	−3.0, −0.9	1983–1989	−4.2^a	1989–1995	2.5	1995–2013	−2.6^a
35–54	−3.3^a	−3.6, −3.0	19,831,990	−5.2^a	1990–2002	−2.1^a	2002–2013	−3.4^a
55–74	−4.8^a	−5.2, −4.5	1983–1989	−2.6^a	1989–1998	−3.8^a	1998–2011	−6.8^a	2011–2013	−3.4
75+	−3.2^a	−3.4, −3.0	1983–2003	−2.2^a	2003–2013	−5.2^a

^a Significantly different from zero (p < 0.05)
^b Standardised to the 2013 European standard population by 5 year age groups
^c Years 1983 to 2013
- No joinpoints identified
APC, annual percent change

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