Comparing trends in mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer in the United Kingdom, 1983–2013: joinpoint regression analysis

Table 4 Joinpoint analysis of age-standardised mortality^b rates by leading types of cancer and cardiovascular diseases

	Mortality per 100,000		Total study period^c		Period 1		Period 2		Period 3		Period 4		Period 5
	1983	2013	Average APC (%)	95%CI	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)	Years	APC (%)
Cancer
Lung
Male	165.7	77.2	−2.6^a	−2.8, −2.4	1983–1991	−2.0^a	1991–1997	−3.8^a	1997–2004	−2.9^a	2004–2008	−1.1^a	2008–2013	−2.5^a
Female	39.9	50.7	0.7^a	0.5, 1.0	1983–1989	2.4^a	1989–2004	0.1	2004–2008	2.1^a	2008–2013	−0.5
Colorectal
Male	54.0	35.3	−1.5^a	−1.9, −1.0	1983–1992	−0.3	1992–1995	−3.7	1995–2013	−1.6^a
Female	38.9	22.8	−2.1^a	−2.2, −1.9	1983–2013	−2.1^a
Prostate
Male	43.7	46.8	0.1	−0.1, 0.3	1983–1992	3.0^a	1992–2013	−1.2^a
Breast
Female	56.2	35.5	−1.5^a	−1.8, −1.2	1983–1985	2.6	1985–1991	−0.4	1991–1998	−2.9^a	1998–2002	−1.3	2002–2013	−2.1^a
Cardiovascular Diseases
Ischaemic Heart Disease
Male	622.1	177.2	−4.1^a	−4.5, −3.7	1983–1985	−0.2	1985–1993	−2.5^a	1993–2002	−4.4^a	2002–2011	−6.2^a	2011–2013	−3.3
Female	306.2	86.5	−4.1^a	−4.5, −3.8	1983–1985	1.0	1985–1993	−2.0^a	1993–2003	−4.5^a	2003–2011	−7.0^a	2011–2013	−3.8
Stroke
Male	213.4	70.0	−3.7^a	−4.5, −2.9	1983–1985	2.0	1985–1998	−3.4^a	1998–2002	0.3	2002–2013	−6.5^a
Female	199.1	67.9	−3.5^a	−4.1, −3.0	1983–1985	1.1	1985–1997	−3.2^a	1997–2003	−1.0	2003–2013	−6.3^a
Other CVD
Male	180.2	69.0	−2.9^a	−3.7, −2.1	1983–1991	−4.4^a	1991–1995	3.6	1995–2013	−3.6^a
Female	140.0	58.1	−2.6^a	−3.5, −1.7	1983–1991	−5.2^a	1991–1995	3.8	1995–2013	−2.8^a

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