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Table 2 Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models for premature mortality, Ontario, 2011-2015

From: Regional variation of premature mortality in Ontario, Canada: a spatial analysis

Variable

RR (95% credible Interval)a

Unadjusted model

Demographics only

Demographics and behaviours

Males

Females

Males

Females

Males

Females

Percentage of highest quintile material deprivation

–

–

1.17 (1.11–1.24)

1.13 (1.07–1.19)

1.1 (1.04–1.16)

1.08 (1.02–1.15)

Percentage of immigrants

–

–

0.74 (0.69–0.79)

0.79 (0.74–0.85)

0.78 (0.68–0.87)

0.79 (0.69–0.93)

Percentage of current alcohol consumptionb

–

–

–

–

0.92 (0.85–0.98)

0.89 (0.8–0.99)

Percentage of excess body weight (overweight/obese)b

–

–

–

–

0.99 (0.9–1.07)

1.05 (0.95–1.18)

Percentage of inadequate vegetable and fruit consumptionb

–

–

–

–

0.94 (0.87–1.02)

0.95 (0.89–1.02)

Percentage of sedentary behaviourb

–

–

–

–

1.04 (0.99–1.09)

1.02 (0.96–1.09)

Percentage of ever smokersb

–

–

–

–

1.21 (1.11–1.32)

1.16 (1.03–1.3)

Explained regional variation, %

–

–

80.0

79.2

89.8

88.7

Spatial component of variance

0.761

0.751

0.622

0.604

0.608

0.570

  1. aAll risk ratio estimates are for a 1 standard deviation increase in the parameter of interest
  2. bCCHS-derived variable from Cancer Risk Factors Atlas of Ontario (2017)