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Table 2 Estimation of the excess of deaths

From: A Bayesian spatio-temporal analysis of mortality rates in Spain: application to the COVID-19 2020 outbreak

 

Deaths

Observed

Projecteda

Excessb

< 50 years

15,543

15,817

− 274

50–64 years

48,191

42,498

5693

65–74 years

67,230

56,608

10,622

75 or more years

368,140

312,047

56,093

 

499,104

426,970

72,134

  1. aSpatio-temporal models: means of the posterior probability distribution
  2. bObserved minus projected