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Table 2 Projected life expectancy free of type 2 diabetes (T2D-free LE) in 2015 and 2040

From: Diabetes free life expectancy and years of life lost associated with type 2 diabetes: projected trends in Germany between 2015 and 2040

Scenario T2D-free LE in 2015 (in years) T2D-free LE in 2040 (in years) Absolute change (in years) Relative change (in percent)
Women
Base case# 38.1 39.1 1.0 2.6
A 38.5 39.5 1.0 2.6
B 39.2 41.4 2.2 5.6
C 36.9 36.4 − 0.5 − 1.4
Men
Base case# 32.7 34.0 1.3 4.0
A 33.2 34.5 1.3 3.9
B 33.7 36.4 2.7 8.0
C 31.6 31.5 − 0.1 − 0.3
  1. T2D-free LE refers to age 40
  2. Scenarios assumed different annual trends in incidence rate (\(i\)) and mortality rate ratio (\({\mathrm{MRR}}\)) associated with diabetes: Base case: \(i\) constant, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) − 2%; A: \(i\) constant, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) constant; B: \(i\) −  0.5%, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) − 2%; C: \(i\) + 0.5%, \({\mathrm{MRR}}\) − 2%