Table 1 Number and rate of AMI/stroke incidence in Tianjin, 2007, 2010 and 2015
| Â | Number | Incidence rate** per 100, 000 (95% confidence interval) | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 | 2010 | 2015 | 2007 | 2010 | 2015 | |||||||||||||
Observed | DisMod II | DisMod II* | Observed | DisMod II | DisMod II* | Observed | DisMod II | DisMod II* | Observed | DisMod II | DisMod II* | Observed | DisMod II | DisMod II* | Observed | DisMod II | DisMod II* | |
AMI | ||||||||||||||||||
 Men | ||||||||||||||||||
  0–29 | 21 | 203 | 200 | 16 | 229 | 226 | 16 | 218 | 215 | 1 (0, 1) | 12 (11, 13) | 12 | 1 (0,1) | 13 (11, 14) | 13 | 1 (0, 1) | 13 (11, 14) | 13 |
  30–64 | 1634 | 2560 | 2527 | 1738 | 2846 | 2806 | 1950 | 2787 | 2751 | 61 (58, 65) | 96 (87, 105) | 95 | 61 (587 64) | 98 (87, 106) | 97 | 69 (65, 72) | 96 (87, 102) | 95 |
  65+ | 2870 | 6548 | 6487 | 2956 | 7954 | 7800 | 3391 | 7722 | 7649 | 380 (364, 396) | 880 (808, 917) | 872 | 344 (322, 347) | 917 (840, 976) | 901 | 311 (292, 316) | 670 (616, 697) | 705 |
  Total | 4525 | 9311 | 9215 | 4710 | 11,029 | 10,832 | 5357 | 10,727 | 10,615 | 69 (66, 71) | 147 (134, 155) | 146 | 64 (62, 66) | 163 (139, 163) | 150 | 63 (61, 65) | 122 (112, 129) | 126 |
 Women | ||||||||||||||||||
  0–29 | 3 | 160 | 158 | 4 | 212 | 210 | 3 | 204 | 202 | 1 (0,1) | 10 (9, 12) | 10 | 1 (0, 1) | 13 (12, 14) | 13 | 1 (0, 1) | 13 (12, 14) | 13 |
  30–64 | 380 | 1298 | 1283 | 484 | 1243 | 1225 | 452 | 1001 | 987 | 14 (12, 16) | 50,944, 53) | 49 | 16 (15, 18) | 43 (38, 47) | 43 | 15 (13, 17) | 34 (30, 37) | 34 |
  65+ | 2365 | 7220 | 7171 | 2405 | 9366 | 9289 | 2683 | 9104 | 9010 | 283 (269, 297) | 869 (798, 922) | 863 | 252 (239, 265) | 952 (875, 1002) | 944 | 236 (224, 249) | 687 (624, 727) | 751 |
  Total | 2748 | 8678 | 8612 | 2893 | 10,821 | 10,724 | 3138 | 10,309 | 10,199 | 39 (37, 41) | 128 (116, 136) | 127 | 36 (35, 38) | 137 (125, 145) | 135 | 34 (32, 35) | 102 (92, 108) | 109 |
Stroke | ||||||||||||||||||
 Men | ||||||||||||||||||
  0–29 | 50 | 866 | 1086 | 65 | 787 | 908 | 129 | 600 | 682 | 2 (1, 3) | 47 (40, 52) | 57 | 3 (2, 3) | 40 (33, 48) | 45 | 5 (4, 6) | 34 (29, 38) | 38 |
  30–64 | 7978 | 13,660 | 16,114 | 9488 | 15,276 | 16,729 | 13,210 | 15,388 | 16,928 | 294 (286, 302) | 514 (453, 576) | 608 | 320 (311, 328) | 526 (470, 585) | 577 | 453 (444, 463) | 528 (460, 595) | 582 |
  65+ | 14,863 | 25,470 | 29,665 | 17,399 | 29,442 | 31,992 | 25,944 | 38,899 | 42,717 | 1965 (1929, 2001) | 3384 (3038, 674) | 3943 | 2040 (2004, 2076) | 3444 (3066, 3796) | 3743 | 2396 (2358, 2435) | 3534 (3075, 3939) | 3950 |
  Total | 22,891 | 39,995 | 46,865 | 29,364 | 45,505 | 49,629 | 39,283 | 54,888 | 60,327 | 345 (340, 351) | 620 (552, 680) | 727 | 364 (359, 370) | 628 (558, 696) | 685 | 458 (452, 464) | 636 (554, 709) | 708 |
 Women | ||||||||||||||||||
  0–29 | 31 | 358 | 381 | 30 | 432 | 467 | 63 | 421 | 450 | 1 (1, 2) | 23 (16, 30) | 24 | 1 (1, 2) | 26 (17, 32) | 28 | 3 (2, 3) | 27 (23, 30) | 29 |
  30–64 | 3948 | 10,106 | 10,713 | 4505 | 11,130 | 11,884 | 6015 | 9847 | 10,548 | 145 (140, 151) | 381 (308, 447) | 404 | 148 (142, 153) | 386 (311, 464) | 412 | 202 (195, 208) | 338 (250, 420) | 367 |
  65+ | 10,990 | 18,782 | 20,002 | 13,803 | 21,719 | 23,323 | 19,575 | 27,975 | 30,392 | 1343 (1313, 1373) | 2227 (1881, 2526) | 2442 | 1492 (1461, 1524) | 2293 (1937, 2603) | 2493 | 1686 (1653, 1720) | 2324 (1802, 2829) | 2581 |
  Total | 14,969 | 29,246 | 31,096 | 20,234 | 33,281 | 35,674 | 25,653 | 38,244 | 41,389 | 215 (211, 220) | 420 (348, 483) | 455 | 234 (230, 238) | 428 (355, 493) | 466 | 278 (273, 283) | 418 (320, 510) | 458 |