Figure 2

Partial chance-corrected concordance for the adult, child, and neonate predictions for making multiple cause of death assignments for each death. Multiple assignments can be made by looking at the top-ranked causes based on the tariff scores for each cause. For a given death, for example, AIDS, TB, and pneumonia might be the three most likely causes of death, thus improving the probability that one of those causes is correct. The partial chance-corrected concordance calculation includes a correction term to compensate for the inherently higher probability of making a correct assignment when multiple causes are assigned.