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Table 1 Projection of the future number (in millions) and percent (%) prevalence of US adults with diagnosed diabetes, by age group for selected years 2014–2060

From: Projection of the future diabetes burden in the United States through 2060

Population (Millions)
Age group (in years)
  18–44 45–64 65–74 > = 75 Total
2014 2.86 10.27 5.51 3.67 22.31
(2.67, 3.07) (9.79, 10.77) (5.28, 5.75) (3.46, 3.89) (21.19, 23.48)
2020 3.84 12.1 8.01 5.32 29.27
(3.53, 4.21) (11.54, 12.71) (7.70, 8.34) (5.07, 5.60) (27.84, 30.86)
2030 5.01 13.67 10.92 10.11 39.71
(4.45, 5.68) (12.72, 14.71) (10.34, 11.57) (9.58, 10.73) (37.09, 42.69)
2040 5.32 16.42 11.22 14.89 47.86
(4.69, 6.08) (15.11, 17.87) (10.50, 12.00) (14.00, 15.92) (44.30, 51.87)
2050 5.51 18.94 12.86 16.99 54.3
(4.85, 6.30) (17.38, 20.66) (11.98, 13.81) (15.88, 18.27) (50.09, 59.06)
2060 5.75 19.71 15.69 19.48 60.63
(5.06, 6.58) (18.07, 21.54) (14.60, 16.88) (18.14, 21.01) (55.86, 66.01)
Prevalence (%)
Age group (in years)
  18–44 45–64 65–74 > = 75 Total
2014 2.5 12.3 20.8 18.5 9.1
(2.3, 2.6) (11.7, 12.9) (19.9, 21.7) (17.4, 19.6) (8.6, 9.5)
2020 3.2 14.4 24.1 22.7 11.2
(2.9, 3.5) (13.7, 15.1) (23.2, 25.1) (21.7, 23.9) (10.6, 11.8)
2030 3.9 16.5 27.7 28.6 13.9
(3.5, 4.4) (15.4, 17.8) (26.2, 29.3) (27.1, 30.3) (13.0, 15.0)
2040 4.1 17.9 30.4 31.8 15.7
(3.6, 4.7) (16.5, 19.5) (28.5, 32.5) (29.9, 34.0) (14.5, 17.0)
2050 4.1 19.1 32.3 33.9 16.8
(3.6, 4.7) (17.6, 20.9) (30.1, 34.7) (31.7, 36.4) (15.5, 18.3)
2060 4.2 19.6 33.8 36 17.9
(3.7, 4.8) (17.9, 21.4) (31.5, 36.4) (33.5, 38.8) (16.5, 19.5)
  1. These projections represent the most likely (base case) scenario. 95% confidence intervals are given in parentheses