Scenario for prior estimation
 
Required sample size No. SAM cases (No. villages)
   
Cluster sampling coverage survey

–

96 (46)

–

25.7% (17.6–33.7%)

–

Standard uncertainty in prior estimation (prior ±25%)

Scenario 1a: broad program implementation^{a}

55%

63 (30)

25.5% (15.4–34.6%)

34.7% (26.3–43.9%)

Strong (p = 0.0033)

Scenario 2a: basic program implementation^{b}

52%

63 (31)

25.5% (16.0–34.4%)

33.8% (25.8–42.8%)

Strong (p = 0.0076)

Scenario 3a: external Implementation^{c}

42%

62 (30)

25.4% (15.2–34.5%)

30.3% (22.5–39.6%)

Weak (p = 0.1165)

High uncertainty in prior estimation (prior ±35%)

Scenario 1b: broad program Implementation^{a}

55%

80 (39)

25.6% (18.2–31.6%)

30.0% (22.3–39.3%)

Strong (p = 0.021)

Scenario 2b: basic program Implementation^{b}

52%

81 (39)

25.6% (18.2–31.6%)

29.6% (21.9–38.8%)

Strong (p = 0.0369)

Scenario 3b: external Implementation^{c}

42%

79 (38)

25.7% (17.9–32.1%)

28.2% (20.8–37.3%)

Weak (p = 0.2582)
