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Table 4 Average annual percentage changes and joinpoint analysis by country and sex by recent available year in males

From: Examining trends in cardiovascular disease mortality across Europe: how does the introduction of a new European Standard Population affect the description of the relative burden of cardiovascular disease?

 

Average annual percentage change (AAPC)

Joinpoint annual percentage change (APC) and end year for each segment in the best fitting model

Males

  

Segment 1

Segment 2

Segment 3

Segment 4

Segment 5

Country

 Albania

ESP 76

− 0.3 (− 1.3, 0.7)

          

ESP 13

− 0.1 (− 1.2, 0.9)

          

 Armenia

ESP 76

0 (− 0.7, 0.7)

1981

2.7^

1993

− 5.5^

2000

17.6^

2003

− 3.9^

  

ESP 13

0 (− 0.9, 0.8)

1981

2.5^

1993

− 6.4^

2000

22.6^

2003

− 4.4^

  

 Austria

ESP 76

− 2.8^ (− 3.4, − 2.3)

1965

18.1^

1971

− 3.6^

      

ESP 13

− 2.9 (− 3.5, − 2.3)

1965

21.2^

1971

− 3.7^

      

 Azerbaijan

ESP 76

− 0.4^ (− 0.8, − 0.1)

1981

0.7

1995

− 1.7^

      

ESP 13

− 0.5^ (− 0.8, − 0.1)

1981

− 0.2

2003

− 4.6^

      

 Belarus

ESP 76

− 0.5 (− 1, 0.1)

1981

3.9

1985

− 3.8^

1992

7.1

1996

− 2.1^

  

ESP 13

− 0.7 (− 1.2, − 0.2)

1981

4.7

1985

− 4.8^

1992

7.2

1996

− 2.2^

  

 Belgium

ESP 76

− 2.6^ (− 2.9, − 2.3)

1965

4.4

1971

− 2.9^

      

ESP 13

− 2.3 (− 2.6, − 2.1)

1965

4.5

1971

− 2.7^

      

 Bosnia and Herzegovina

ESP 76

− 0.7 (− 1.7, 0.3)

1985

8.5^

1988

− 1.1^

      

ESP 13

− 0.4 (− 1.4, 0.7)

1985

9.3

1988

− 0.9^

      

 Bulgaria

ESP 76

0.8^ (0.5, 1.2)

1965

24.1^

1969

1.5^

1998

− 1.8^

    

ESP 13

0.7^ (0.4, 1.1)

1965

23.7^

1969

1.4^

1998

− 1.8^

    

 Croatia

ESP 76

− 1.9^ (− 2.3, − 1.4)

1985

− 1.8^

1995

5.8

1998

− 4.0^

    

ESP 13

− 1.7^ (− 2.1, − 1.3)

1985

− 1.9^

1995

5.8

1998

− 3.7^

    

 Cyprus

ESP 76

− 3.8^ (− 4.7, − 2.8)

          

ESP 13

− 3.3^ (− 4.6, − 2.1)

          

 Czech Republic

ESP 76

− 3.0^ (− 3.2, − 2.9)

1986

− 0.5

1990

− 3.4^

2000

− 1.1

2003

− 5.1^

2013

− 2.5^

ESP 13

− 2.8^ (− 2.9, − 2.6)

1986

− 0.5

1990

− 3.1^

2000

− 0.2

2003

− 5.3^

2007

− 2.4^

 Denmark

ESP 76

− 2.2^ (− 2.6, − 1.9)

1965

2.3^

1973

− 1.5^

1991

− 3.7^

2003

− 6.0^

  

ESP 13

− 2.1^ (− 2.4, − 1.8)

1965

2.9^

1972

− 1.4^

1991

− 3.4^

2003

− 5.9^

  

 Estonia

ESP 76

− 2.0^ (− 2.3, − 1.7)

1981

− 0.9^

1991

3.2

1994

− 5.5

1997

− 2.2^

2012

− 5.2^

ESP 13

− 2.0^ (− 2.3, − 1.8)

1981

− 0.8^

1994

− 2.4^

2007

− 4.9^

    

 Finland

ESP 76

− 2.6^ (− 2.8, − 2.4)

1965

5.7^

1970

− 2.2^

1987

− 3.3^

    

ESP 13

− 2.3^ (− 2.5, − 2.1)

1965

5.9^

1970

− 2.1^

1990

− 3.1^

    

 France

ESP 76

− 2.4^ (− 2.7, − 2.1)

1965

13.7^

1969

− 2.0^

1986

− 6.8

1989

− 1.9^

2011

− 4.4^

ESP 13

− 2.3^ (− 2.6, − 2)

1965

14.2^

1969

− 1.9^

1986

− 6.7

1989

− 1.7^

2002

− 4.3^

 Georgia

ESP 76

− 1.7^ (− 2.5, − 0.9)

1981

− 0.2

2007

− 17.9

2011

9.5

    

ESP 13

− 1.8^ (− 2.6, − 0.9)

1981

− 0.1

2005

− 8.7^

      

 Germany

ESP 76

− 3.6^ (− 3.8, − 3.4)

1990

− 3.2^

2003

− 4.6^

2011

1.4

    

ESP 13

− 3.4^ (− 3.6, − 3.3)

1990

− 3.0^

2003

− 4.6^

2011

2

    

 Greece

ESP 76

− 0.4^ (− 0.8, − 0.1)

1965

23.2^

1968

1.3^

1987

− 1.0^

2002

− 4.1^

  

ESP 13

− 0.3 (− 0.7, 0.1)

1965

23.2^

1968

1.5^

1987

− 0.8^

2002

− 4.5^

  

 Hungary

ESP 76

− 0.6^ (− 0.9, − 0.3)

1965

10.9^

1970

0.2

1992

^2.3^

    

ESP 13

− 0.7^ (-1, -0.4)

1965

10.7^

1970

−0.2

1993

− 2.2^

    

 Iceland

ESP 76

− 2.6^ (− 2.8, − 2.4)

1965

5.7^

1970

− 2.2^

1987

− 3.3^

    

ESP 13

− 2.3^ (− 2.5, − 2.1)

1965

5.9^

1970

− 2.1^

1990

− 3.1^

    

 Ireland

ESP 76

− 2.3^ (− 2.7, − 1.9)

1965

7.7^

1969

− 0.4

1982

− 2.8^

1998

− 5.4^

  

ESP 13

− 2.2^ (− 2.5, − 1.8)

1965

7.8^

1969

− 0.4

1982

− 2.7^

1998

− 5.1^

  

 Israel

ESP 76

− 3.9^ (− 4.2, − 3.6)

1975

− 2.8^

1990

0.3

1994

− 10.2^

1997

− 4.7^

  

ESP 13

− 3.7^ (− 3.9, − 3.4)

1975

− 2.6^

1990

1

1994

− 10.2^

1997

− 4.5^

  

 Italy

ESP 76

− 2.4^ (− 2.7, − 2.1)

1965

11.0^

1969

− 1.4^

1983

− 3.2^

    

ESP 13

− 2.2^ (− 2.5, − 1.9)

1965

11.3^

1969

− 1.3^

1983

− 3.0^

    

 Kazakhstan

ESP 76

0.2 (− 0.6, 1.1)

1981

0.4

1991

7.7

1994

0.3

2007

− 11.3^

2012

− 25.3^

ESP 13

0.1 (− 0.8, 1)

1981

0.7

1991

6.3

1994

0.5

2007

− 11.9^

2010

− 29.7^

 Kyrgyzstan

ESP 76

0.9^ (0.7, 1.2)

1981

0.1

1991

5.7

1994

0.4^

    

ESP 13

0.9^ (0.7, 1.2)

          

 Latvia

ESP 76

− 0.9^ (− 1.2, − 0.5)

1980

− 0.8^

1991

9.3^

1994

− 9.2^

1997

− 0.3

2012

− 3.9^

ESP 13

− 1.0^ (− 1.3, − 0.8)

1980

− 1.0^

1991

6.8

1994

− 7.6

1997

− 0.3

2005

− 3.3^

 Lithuania

ESP 76

− 0.3^ (− 0.6, − 0.1)

1981

1.1^

1994

− 2.4^

2000

1.5

2006

− 3.0^

  

ESP 13

− 0.4^ (− 0.6, − 0.2)

1981

0.6

1994

− 0.9^

      

 Luxembourg

ESP 76

− 2.5^ (− 2.9, − 2.1)

1965

8.8^

1971

− 1.5^

1985

− 3.9^

    

ESP 13

− 2.2^ (− 2.6, − 1.8)

1965

9.7^

1971

− 1.2^

1985

− 3.7^

    

 Malta

ESP 76

−2.9^ (− 3.5, − 2.3)

1965

5.8^

1981

− 20.4

1984

− 3.5^

    

ESP 13

− 2.7^ (− 3.4, − 2.1)

1965

6.7^

1981

− 22.4

1984

− 3.2^

    

 Montenegro

ESP 76

− 0.7 (− 2.1, 0.7)

2000

−4.7

2002

3

2006

−5.8^

    

ESP 13

− 0.5 (− 2, 0.9)

2000

− 4.8

2002

3.5

2006

− 6.0^

    

 Netherlands

ESP 76

− 2.2^ (− 2.5, − 1.9)

1965

−  1.9

1967

12.6^

1970

− 1.3^

1985

− 2.4^

2013

− 5.1^

ESP 13

− 2.0^ (− 2.3, − 1.7)

1965

− 2.4

1967

13.1^

1970

− 1.3^

1985

− 2.1^

2000

− 4.8^

 Norway

ESP 76

− 2.1^ (− 2.5, −1.8)

1965

9.9^

1970

− 1.0^

1988

− 2.9^

1998

− 5.1^

  

ESP 13

− 1.9^ (− 2.2, − 1.5)

1965

11.3^

1970

− 1.2^

1995

− 4.6^

    

 Poland

ESP 76

− 0.7^ (− 1.2, − 0.3)

1965

5.6^

1971

1.4^

1991

− 3.6^

2002

− 2.4^

  

ESP 13

− 0.7^ (− 1.1, − 0.3)

1965

5.4^

1971

1.5^

1990

− 2.9^

    

 Portugal

ESP 76

− 2.2^ (− 2.8, − 1.6)

1965

0.2

1969

33.3^

1972

− 2.0^

1993

− 4.5^

  

ESP 13

− 2.0^ (− 2.6, − 1.4)

1965

0.1

1969

35.0^

1972

− 1.8^

1993

− 4.4^

  

 Republic of Moldova

ESP 76

0.1 (− 0.4, 0.7)

1981

− 0.3

1985

− 4.9^

1992

10.5^

1996

0.6

2013

− 2.8^

ESP 13

0.1 (− 0.5, 0.7)

1981

0.5

1985

− 6.3^

1992

11.7^

1996

1

2003

− 3.2^

 Romania

ESP 76

− 0.2 (− 0.5, 0.1)

1969

0.8^

1997

− 2.4^

      

ESP 13

− 0.3^ (− 0.5, 0)

1969

0.7^

1997

− 2.3^

      

 Russian Federation

ESP 76

0.3 (0, 0.7)

1980

− 1.1^

1991

10.2^

1994

− 6.7

1997

4.0^

2011

− 3.8^

ESP 13

0 (−0.3, 0.4)

1980

− 1.1^

1991

7.4

1994

− 5.7

1997

2.8^

2004

− 4.0^

 San Marino

ESP 76

− 3.7 (−12.7, 6.2)

          

ESP 13

− 4.6 (− 13.9, 5.7)

          

 Serbia

ESP 76

− 2.5^ (− 2.8, − 2.2)

          

ESP 13

− 2.4^ (− 2.7, − 2.1)

          

 Slovakia

ESP 76

− 1.2^ (− 1.5, − 0.8)

1992

2.6

1995

− 1.2^

2006

− 3.2^

    

ESP 13

− 0.8^ (− 1.2, − 0.4)

1992

3.6

1995

−  0.9^

2006

− 3.2^

    

 Slovenia

ESP 76

− 3.4^ (− 3.6, − 3.2)

          

ESP 13

− 3.2^ (− 3.4, − 3)

          

 Spain

ESP 76

− 2.6^ (− 3, − 2.3)

1965

− 30.8^

1968

16.0^

1973

− 3.0^

    

ESP 13

− 2.6^ (− 2.9, − 2.2)

1965

− 34.8^

1968

16.8^

1973

− 2.9^

    

 Sweden

ESP 76

− 2.1^ (− 2.4, − 1.8)

1965

4.5^

1971

− 0.3

1982

− 2.8^

1998

− 3.7^

  

ESP 13

− 1.9^ (− 2.2, − 1.6)

1965

4.6^

1971

− 0.4

1982

− 2.5^

1998

− 3.4^

  

 Switzerland

ESP 76

− 2.5^ (− 2.7, − 2.2)

1965

− 3.5

1967

7.8^

1970

− 0.8^

1980

− 2.8^

2013

− 3.7^

ESP 13

− 2.3^ (− 2.5, − 2.1)

1965

− 3.9

1967

8.7^

1970

− 0.8^

1980

− 2.7^

1997

− 3.5^

 Tajikistan

ESP 76

1.5^ (1, 2)

          

ESP 13

1.8^ (1.3, 2.3)

          

 TFYR Macedonia

ESP 76

0 (− 0.3, 0.4)

1991

0.9^

2003

− 1.7^

      

ESP 13

0.4^ (0, 0.8)

1991

1.4^

2003

− 1.5^

      

 Turkey

ESP 76

1.1 (− 1.5, 3.8)

          

ESP 13

1.1 (− 1.5, 3.8)

          

 Turkmenistan

ESP 76

1.4 (− 0.2, 3)

1981

0.5

1989

12.5

1992

− 5.3^

    

ESP 13

1.4 (0, 3)

1981

0.7

1989

11.5

1992

− 4.7^

    

 The UK

ESP 76

− 2.7^ (− 3, − 2.4)

1965

8.6^

1969

− 1.1^

1979

− 2.9^

1999

− 5.2^

  

ESP 13

− 2.6^ (− 2.9, − 2.3)

1965

9.1^

1969

− 1.2^

1979

− 2.7^

2001

− 5.5^

  

 Ukraine

ESP 76

0.7^ (0.3, 1.1)

1981

− 1.8^

1991

7.1^

1995

− 2.2

1998

2.3^

2012

− 3.1^

ESP 13

0.5^ (0.2, 0.9)

1981

0.7

1985

− 3.8^

1991

7.5

1994

1.1^

2006

− 3.1^

 Uzbekistan

ESP 76

0.7^ (0.3, 1.1)

1981

− 1.8^

1991

7.1^

1995

− 2.2

1998

2.3^

2012

− 3.1^

ESP 13

0.5^ (0.2, 0.9)

1981

0.7

1985

− 3.8^

1991

7.5

1994

1.1^

2006

− 3.1^

  1. AAPC the average annual percentage change over the entire period of available data, APC annual percentage change over each identified joinpoint segment
  2. ^Values are significantly different to zero