From: A Bayesian spatio-temporal analysis of mortality rates in Spain: application to the COVID-19 2020 outbreak
Probability distribution for the deaths count
< 50 years
50–64 years
65–74 years
75 and over
Poisson
4126.7
4651.9
4547.8
5622.0
Negative binomial
4114.1
4562.6
4556.5
5537.8